The Uncertainty In Water Mass Fraction Of Wet Planets

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The Uncertainty In Water Mass Fraction Of Wet Planets

Planets composed of iron, rock, and water. Illustrations not to scale. The planet model on the left-hand side develops a shallow layer of pure water, while the majority of the water is locked in the rock (”mixed”). The model on the right-hand side is assumed to have a three-layer structure (”separated”). The physical properties of the structures are shown in Figure 3. — astro-ph.EP

Planets with masses between Earth and Neptune often have radii that imply the presence of volatiles, suggesting that water may be abundant in their interiors. However, directly observing the precise water mass fraction and water distribution remains unfeasible.

In our study, we employ an internal structure code MAGRATHEA to model planets with high water content and explore potential interior distributions. Departing from traditional assumptions of a layered structure, we determine water and rock distribution based on water-rock miscibility criteria. We model wet planets with an iron core and a homogeneous mixture of rock and water above it. At the outer regions of the planet, the pressure and temperature are below the rock-water miscibility point (the second critical point), causing the segregation of water and rock.

Consequently, a shell of water is formed in the outermost layers. By considering the water-rock miscibility and the vapor state of water, our approach highlights the uncertainty in estimating the water mass fraction of detected exoplanets.

Michael Lozovsky

Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP)
Cite as: arXiv:2601.03932 [astro-ph.EP] (or arXiv:2601.03932v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2601.03932
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Related DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ae2c56
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Submission history
From: Michael Lozovsky
[v1] Wed, 7 Jan 2026 13:51:31 UTC (8,964 KB)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.03932
Astrobiology,

Explorers Club Fellow, ex-NASA Space Station Payload manager/space biologist, Away Teams, Journalist, Lapsed climber, Synaesthete, Na’Vi-Jedi-Freman-Buddhist-mix, ASL, Devon Island and Everest Base Camp veteran, (he/him) 🖖🏻

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